In the world of maritime autonomous surface ships (MASS), ensuring the safety and reliability of collision avoidance systems is paramount. However, real-world collision-risk encounters are rare, making it challenging to gather enough data to thoroughly test these systems. Enter Taewoong Hwang, a researcher from the Division of Navigation & Information Systems at Mokpo National Maritime University in South Korea, who’s tackling this issue head-on.
Hwang and his team have developed a novel approach to generate realistic collision-risk scenarios for MASS verification. Their method, detailed in the Journal of International Maritime Safety, Environmental Affairs, and Shipping, uses Automatic Identification System (AIS) data to create a ‘Bag-of-Encounters’ representation. This means they’ve organized real-life encounter data into groups with similar characteristics.
Here’s where it gets interesting. Instead of just recycling the same old scenarios, Hwang’s team models the characteristics of these encounter groups using probability density functions. “By probabilistically sampling from these distributions, we can produce scenarios that balance realism with variability,” Hwang explains. In plain terms, they’re using statistics to generate new, realistic scenarios that haven’t necessarily happened before, but could.
This approach is a game-changer for the maritime industry. With more realistic and varied scenarios, MASS collision avoidance systems can be tested more thoroughly, improving their reliability and safety. This is crucial as the industry moves towards increased automation and autonomy.
The commercial impacts are significant. As Hwang points out, “This study introduces a data-driven scenario generation framework that preserves the underlying distribution of real encounters while compensating for the limited availability of empirical data.” This means ship operators and technology providers can have greater confidence in the safety of MASS, potentially speeding up their adoption.
Moreover, this research opens up opportunities for maritime training and simulation industries. With a steady stream of realistic scenarios, training programs can be enhanced, improving the skills of maritime professionals.
In essence, Hwang’s work is a step towards safer, more reliable maritime autonomous systems. And as the industry continues to evolve, this kind of innovative research will be key to navigating the waters ahead.

